Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:22 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has put up an impressive 13.4 points per game this season, a significant increase from his 7.3 points per game last season.
Duncan Robinson has successfully made a terrific 2.9 treys per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 mark last season.
Duncan Robinson has tallied 33.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games at home, 6.3 more than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league as the home team this year.
The matchup against the New York Knicks is a positive one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SGs have posted the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (44.7%).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson places in the 84th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the league this year.
The Knicks have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA on their home court with a mere 8.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Knicks is a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game this year (4th-least in the league).

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