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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2024

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.8 threes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.8 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this year away from his home court.

Duncan Robinson has played 28.5 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The Heat have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.

The Heat are expected to see an increase in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

Duncan Robinson has made 86.1% of his foul shot attempts this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson comes in at the 81st percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.4 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.

The matchup vs. Washington is a challenging one; when the Wizards are at home, they have given up the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting SGs this year (10.9).

The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league on the road this year.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

The matchup against the Washington Wizards may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the league).

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