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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Compared to last season's 7.3 mark, Duncan Robinson's points per game have spiked this season to 13.4.

Duncan Robinson has averaged 33.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.2 more than he's averaged overall this season.

When it comes to 3-point shots, the Miami Heat's terrific 38.8% rate of converted threes while playing at home comes in as the 4th-best in the league this year.

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.2% more than he's made in all games this season.

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 3.7 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, making it fairly effortless to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has been called for 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).

Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting SGs have put up 15.6 points per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nuggets, marking this as a tough matchup for offensive production.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with just 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.

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