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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/10/2024

Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 10.1 shots per game this year, a significant increase from his 6.1 mark last year.

Duncan Robinson has averaged 32.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.

As it relates to threes, the Miami Heat's stellar 39.1% rate of converted threes as the home team comes in as the 3rd-most in the league this year.

The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Wizards are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled the 5th-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (13.6).

The Heat are expected to see a spike in plays today from competing against the fastest pace team in the league this year (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.3 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Wizards, struggling to get to the charity stripe.

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