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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2024

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have surged this year to 13.3.

In comparison to last year's 4.7 clip, Duncan Robinson's 3-point attempts have spiked this year to 6.9 per game.

Duncan Robinson has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.6 higher than he's played in all games this season.

With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's impressive 37.6% rate of made threes measures as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.

The matchup vs. Dallas is a positive one for three-point shots; when the Dallas Mavericks are at home, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 28th-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 80th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 2.4 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.

The slowest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 3rdworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 9.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

When playing at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Mavericks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

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