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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -133 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last season's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have spiked this season to 13.5.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for an impressive 28.0 minutes per game this season, significantly more than his 17.2 minutes per game last season.

As it relates to three-point shots, the Miami Heat's impressive 40.4% rate of made threes while playing at home comes in as the best in the NBA over the last 20 games.

This matchup is a tough one for scoring; when the Suns are the visiting team, opposing teams have put up the 4th-lowest field goal percentage in the league against them this year (46.2%).

The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.3 fouls per game this year.

The Miami Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have brought down 14.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can lead to added chances for offense).

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