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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/21/2024

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted a whopping 2.9 three-point shots per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.7 rate last season.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the Heat's excellent 38.0% rate of sunk threes places 5th-highest in the NBA this year.

This year when they are on the road, opposing teams have come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) against the Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in bonus chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 17.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Miami Heat have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Orlando Magic).

The Miami Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Orlando Magic have the home court advantage, opposing squads have attempted a whopping 26.1 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

Duncan Robinson will likely suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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