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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/15/2024

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last season's 1.7 rate, Duncan Robinson's 3-pointers hit have increased this season to 3.0 per game.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 76th percentile.

The Heat have been the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

Duncan Robinson has made 91.7% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 9.5% more than he's put through the net overall this year.

This year, opposing teams have attempted 22.2 foul shots per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (77th percentile).

The 2nd-most lethargic tempo team in the league this year has been the Heat.

The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Heat.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 5thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets (continuing possessions that can bring about further chances for offense).

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