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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Los Angeles Lakers vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-102/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -123 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -127.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has successfully made 2.9 three-pointers per game away from his home court this year, ranking in the 94th percentile among all players in the NBA.

The Miami Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The Heat will likely see an increase in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Lakers).

Over the last 20 games, the other team has captured 9.9 offensive boards per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (reducing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has been called for 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the league (75th percentile).

Over the last 5 games, opposing clubs have totaled 119.0 points per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Lakers, marking this as a good matchup for offensive efficiency.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Duncan Robinson will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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