Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

LA Clippers vs Miami Heat · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2024 10:51 PM EST

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 94th percentile for three-pointers sunk away from his home court, logging 2.9 per game this year.
The Heat have been the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year, their opposition has shot 45.9% on field goal attempts (5th-lowest in the league) against the LA Clippers, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Heat will likely see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 4th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 17 games (the Clippers).
Duncan Robinson has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 20.3% more than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Favors Under

Duncan Robinson has averaged 2.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (77th percentile).
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 3rdworst in in the league on the road with just 9.1 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The Clippers have given up the 8th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Duncan Robinson will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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