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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has made 3.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.

Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have tallied 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks, marking this as a tough matchup.

The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).

Duncan Robinson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

Over the last 15 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted 22.2 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Atlanta Hawks, easily managing to get to the foul line.

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