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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 4.2 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's made overall this year.

The Heat rank as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

The Heat will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 10th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA this year (the Magic).

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has grabbed 8.2 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise result in additional chances for offense).

Among all players in the NBA, Duncan Robinson ranks in the 77th percentile for free-throw performance when playing away from home with a an excellent 87.5% rate this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Over the last 12 games, opposing clubs have averaged 38.3% on 3-pointers (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Orlando Magic, branding this as a strong matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA as the road team this year.

The Miami Heat rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted 26.8 free throws per game (most in the league) vs. the Magic, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Duncan Robinson will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.

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