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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/16/2023

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted 3.1 three-point shots per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile among all players in the league.

The Miami Heat have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Miami Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

Duncan Robinson will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to increase player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this year at home.

This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 9.8 field goal attempts per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Bulls, creating a hard matchup.

The Bulls have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce possessions for the Miami Heat.

The Miami Heat have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

The Chicago Bulls have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).

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