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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 12/8/2023

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In contrast to last year's 7.3 rate, Duncan Robinson's points per game have risen this year to 15.0.

Duncan Robinson has successfully made an impressive 3.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit higher than his 1.7 rate last year.

Duncan Robinson has played a whopping 29.2 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 16.6 minutes per game last year.

With respect to offense, the Miami Heat's fantastic 125.0 points per game away from home comes in as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.

The Heat have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games playing at home.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson measures in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.5 fouls per game this year.

The matchup vs. Cleveland is a difficult one; when the Cavaliers are the visiting squad, they have given up the 15th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting SGs this year (11.9).

The Miami Heat will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 9th-most lethargic pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

The Miami Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, their opposition has collected 11.5 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Cavaliers (saving possessions that can generate more opportunities for offense).

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