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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/30/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has registered a whopping 14.4 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 7.3 points per game last year.

Relative to last year's 1.7 mark, Duncan Robinson's three-point shots hit have increased this year to 3.1 per game.

Duncan Robinson has averaged a whopping 29.0 minutes per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 16.6 minutes per game last season.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA while at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA at home this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Heat.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have averaged 4.9 3-point attempts per game (13th-lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, creating a tough matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.

The Miami Heat check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are away from home, opposing teams have collected 13.8 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) vs. the Pacers (lengthening possessions that can spark further chances for offense).

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