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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In comparison to last year's 7.3 clip, Duncan Robinson's points per game have surged this year to 15.1.

Duncan Robinson has sunk an impressive 3.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, quite a bit more than his 1.7 rate last year.

Duncan Robinson has tallied 34.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games while at home, 5.4 more than he's tallied overall this season at home.

The Miami Heat have been the 8th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have totaled 5.2 three attempts per game (15th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, resulting in a challenging matchup.

The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The Miami Heat are expected to see a decline in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 6th-most sluggish pace away team in the league over the last 5 games (the Cavaliers).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat grade out 5thworst in in the league with the home court advantage with a mere 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, opposing squads have come down with 13.4 offensive boards per game (5th-highest in the NBA) against the Cavaliers (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).

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