Duncan Robinson Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 6.1 clip, Duncan Robinson's shots from the field have risen this season to 10.7 per game.
Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.5 shots from downtown per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.5 mark last season.
Duncan Robinson has played an impressive 27.4 minutes per game this year, significantly more than his 16.6 minutes per game last year.
The Miami Heat rank as the 3rd-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the quickest pace in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have totaled 13.6 points per game (15th-lowest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, creating a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 10thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with only 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, opposing teams have secured 11.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Hornets (retaining possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (12th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Duncan Robinson will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally worsens player production for all stats.