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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2023

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has attempted 7.6 3-point shots per game this season, a significant increase from his 4.5 rate last season.

The Miami Heat have been the 9th-most aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

The matchup against San Antonio is a favorable one for 3-pointers; when the Spurs are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 30th-highest three rate in the NBA since the start of last season (42.3%).

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Duncan Robinson has been called for 0.0 technical fouls per game at home this year, putting him in the 80th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone when it comes to getting T'ed up.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 7thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with only 8.6 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) vs. the Spurs (retaining possessions that can result in added chances for offense).

Duncan Robinson has made a lowly 50.0% of his free throw attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 90.0 mark last year.

Since the start of last season, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.7 foul shots per game (7th-lowest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, struggling to draw fouls.

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