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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Points
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has converted a whopping 2.5 3-point shots per game this season, significantly more than his 1.7 mark last season.

The Miami Heat have been the 4th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.

The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 1.9 rate, Duncan Robinson's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 2.8.

The matchup vs. Atlanta is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Hawks are playing at home, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 14th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).

The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).

In comparison to last year's 90.0% rate, Duncan Robinson's foul-shot effectiveness has been reduced this year to 50.0%.

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