Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 12/22/2023

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Duncan Robinson

NBA · Player Props

Duncan Robinson

F · Miami Heat

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 22, 2023

Updated Dec 23, 2023 12:55 AM UTC

Analysis

Duncan Robinson Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Duncan Robinson has made 3.1 3-pointers per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Miami Heat's outstanding 39.8% rate of sunk threes settles in as the strongest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing teams have tallied 32.3 3-point attempts per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Hawks, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Heat are expected to see a spike in possessions today from competing against the 2nd-speediest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Hawks).
Duncan Robinson will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
Away from their home court, the Atlanta Hawks have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

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