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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 1/17/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has posted 3.2 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch: 81st percentile.

Duncan Robinson has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 75th percentile.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Heat.

This year, opposing squads have snagged 10.1 offensive boards per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to more opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Duncan Robinson rates in the 76th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.3 fouls per game this year.

The slowest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Duncan Robinson should see a decline in performance across the board due to being on the road in this matchup.

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