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Duncan Robinson

Duncan Robinson Assists
Player Prop - 11/11/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Duncan Robinson Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -185 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Duncan Robinson has put up 2.8 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.8 more than he's put up in all games this season on the road.

The 9th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Miami Heat.

The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Atlanta Hawks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 1.9 rate, Duncan Robinson's personal fouls per game have jumped this season to 2.8.

The Heat rank as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has collected 11.3 offensive boards per game (9th-most in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks (preserving possessions that can spark more opportunities for offense).

Duncan Robinson will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally reduces stat production across the board.

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