Draymond Green Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Mar 28, 2023

Updated Mar 29, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has averaged 7.1 defensive rebounds per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Draymond Green has played 31.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 82nd percentile.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Pelicans have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase opportunities for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

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