Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 4/16/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 16, 2024

Updated Apr 16, 2024 10:07 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has sunk 63.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 12.4% higher than he's converted in all games this year when playing on the road.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goal attempts (6th-highest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a good matchup.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 25 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 5th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Draymond Green rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 3.0 fouls per game this year.
The Golden State Warriors will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Kings).
Draymond Green has successfully made 66.8% of his free throws this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the league.
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Golden State Warriors's poor 16.4 foul shots per game settles in as the worst in the league over the last 25 games.
Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Sacramento Kings, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.