Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 2/29/2024

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 29, 2024

Updated Mar 1, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has converted 72.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 30.0% more than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games when playing on the road.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors rank 14thbest in in the NBA as the away team with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
The Knicks have allowed the 2nd-least offensive boards per game (8.0) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Isaiah Hartenstein has been very high this year (3.3 foul shots per game when they are on the road: 90th percentile).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. Isaiah Hartenstein is a challenging one for 3-point shots; when Hartenstein is playing at home and facing fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a lowly 20.9% of their 3-pointers (3rd percentile).
The Golden State Warriors will likely experience a decrease in opportunities today from facing the most sluggish pace team in the NBA this year (the Knicks).
Draymond Green has missed 0.8 foul shot attempts per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.4 more than he's missed overall this season away from his home court.
With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Warriors's lackluster 18.0 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home comes in as the 2nd-worst in the league over the last 10 games.