Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2023

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 8, 2023

Updated Dec 9, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 2.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the season away from his home court.
The Warriors have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Warriors.
The Warriors have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green has successfully made an impressive 77.8% of his foul shot attempts this season, a sizeable increase from his 68.9 mark last season.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 78th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
In terms of scoring, the Warriors's subpar 45.2% field goal percentage while on the road measures as the 6th-fewest in the league this year.
The matchup against Oklahoma is a challenging one for field goals; when the Thunder are on the road, the opposition's starting PFs have compiled the 11th-lowest FG% in the league this year (43.8%).
When playing on the road, the Oklahoma City Thunder have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.9) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 3.0 free throws per game (9th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.