Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

LA Clippers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 8:54 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 27.9% rate, Draymond Green's 3-point prowess has spiked this year to 40.7%.
The 10th-speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Golden State Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games at home, 25.0% higher than he's sunk in all games this season at home.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.3 free throws per game (23rd-highest in the league) against the Clippers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 higher than he's been called for overall this season at home.
As it relates to shooting, the Golden State Warriors's lackluster 45.5% field goal rate at home places 6th-lowest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PFs have tallied 0.6 threes per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Clippers, branding this as a tough matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased plays for the Warriors.
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Clippers (retaining possessions that can result in more chances for offense).

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