Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 8, 2023 12:48 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 7.4 shots made from the field per game (26th-most in the league) against the Nuggets, creating a positive matchup.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 8 games while playing at home.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Warriors grade out 11thbest in in the NBA as the road team with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the {OPP_TEAM}.
This year, their opposition has come down with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (9th-highest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can generate extra chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game since the start of last season (11th-least in the league).

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