Draymond Green Points - Player Prop Bet 3/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors · Mar 22, 2023

Updated Mar 22, 2023 10:46 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has successfully made 62.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 7.9% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
Draymond Green has made 50.0% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 21.2% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season while playing on the road.
Draymond Green has been on the court for 30.8 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 81st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Mavericks is a positive one; they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PFs this year (17.6).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (95th percentile).
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces stat production in all facets of the game.