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Draymond Green

Draymond Green Points
Player Prop - 2/28/2023

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers

Draymond Green Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Draymond Green has made 50.1% of his shots from the field while playing at home this year, ranking in the 77th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

Draymond Green has played 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a good one for field goals; the other team's starting Cs have compiled the 29th-highest Field Goal% in the league this year (61.3%).

The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Draymond Green has converted 25.5% of his three-point attempts this year, placing him in the 21st percentile among all players in the league.

Draymond Green has committed 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

As a team, the Golden State Warriors have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls of late: worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, averaging a mere 17.5 foul shots per game.

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