Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Dec 1, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-145/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 29.3% mark, Draymond Green's three-point prowess has risen this year to 50.0%.
The 8th-fastest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Warriors.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Golden State Warriors grade out 12thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 13.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Draymond Green ought to see a spike in effectiveness in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 30.8 clip, Draymond Green's playing time has diminished this year to 22.7 minutes per game.
Draymond Green has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for threes; when the LA Clippers are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (25.7%).
The LA Clippers have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease plays for the Warriors.
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 12.1 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers (lengthening possessions that can result in bonus chances for offense).

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