Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Made 3 Point Shots

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors · May 12, 2023

Updated May 13, 2023 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+112/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has been on the court for 30.7 minutes per game away from home this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a good one for attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting Cs have averaged the 22nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league over the last 12 games when the Lakers are on their home court (1.7).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Warriors.
The Golden State Warriors rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed over the course of the season.
When playing at home, the Lakers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (14.2) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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