Draymond Green Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Draymond Green

NBA · Player Props

Draymond Green

F · Golden State Warriors

Assists

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 11:53 PM EST

Analysis

Draymond Green Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Draymond Green has averaged 6.7 assists per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this standard: 97th percentile.
Draymond Green has played 35.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
The Golden State Warriors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 7 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.8) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Draymond Green will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Draymond Green has committed 4.1 personal fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while traveling, which ought to decrease possessions for the Warriors.

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