Donovan Mitchell Steals - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Steals

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 6:17 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+114/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 1.8 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 99th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game away from home this year.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers stat production for all stats.