Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 11, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 1:42 AM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged a terrific 4.3 defensive rebounds per game this season, significantly higher than his 3.4 defensive rebounds per game last season.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.6 minutes per game since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Warriors).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA on the road with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game this year.
Since the start of last season, opposing clubs have snagged 11.1 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Golden State Warriors (maintaining possessions that can spark additional opportunities for offense).
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens stat production across the board.

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