Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 5:21 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-122/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 99th percentile for shots taken, logging 19.8 per game this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 99th percentile for 3-point attempts on his home court, registering 9.3 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
In regard to three-point attempts, the 4th-most aggressive team in the league when playing at home over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have logged 20.2 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Magic, creating a positive matchup for offensive productivity.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which should reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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