Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/30/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Portland Trail Blazers · Nov 30, 2023

Updated Nov 30, 2023 7:13 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
In regard to scoring, the Cavaliers's stellar 48.0% field goal percentage ranks 8th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against Portland is a positive one for scoring; when the Trail Blazers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 30th-highest field goal rate in the league this year (51.7%).
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games without the home court advantage, which should raise possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Relative to last season's 4.4 mark, Donovan Mitchell's foul shots sunk have spiked this season to 6.7 per game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has sunk just 23.7% of his shots from downtown this season, quite a bit less than his 39.4 mark last season.
Donovan Mitchell has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 higher than he's committed overall this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 8thworst in in the NBA as the road team with only 9.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
This year, opposing clubs have come down with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (8th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers (continuing possessions that can spark further opportunities for offense).
This year, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (15th-lowest in the NBA) against the Portland Trail Blazers, finding it difficult to draw fouls.