Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has converted 11.3 buckets per game over the last 10 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.3 threes per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.6 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
In regard to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 48.7% field goal percentage as the visting team ranks 5th-best in the league this year.
Compared to his full-year clip of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) foul shots per home game, Donovan Mitchell's rate of getting to the foul line has spiked by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) over the last 5 games playing at home.

Favors Under

The matchup against Brooklyn is a hard one for shots from the field; when the Nets are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have put up the 14th-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (41.2%).
The most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from squaring off against the 6th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Nets).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing squads have snagged 11.6 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets (lengthening possessions that can generate added chances for offense).