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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 1/31/2023

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-118/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.4 3-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 99th percentile out of all players in the league.

Donovan Mitchell has made 6.0 free throws per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made in all games this year playing at home.

Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 34.8 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 25 games while on their home court.

The Heat have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (which can also create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup against the Heat is a challenging one for 3-pointers; opposing squads have tallied the 3rd-least shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the NBA this year (13.2).

The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home (which also eliminates additional chances for scoring and assists).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year.

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Heat.

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