Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/3/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Phoenix Suns vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 3, 2024

Updated Apr 3, 2024 10:12 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-124/+102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled an impressive 6.1 assists per game this year, quite a bit more than his 4.6 assists per game last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 96th percentile for playing time, logging a whopping 35.2 minutes per game this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the most up-tempo tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Donovan Mitchell stands to suffer a reduction in productivity across the board due to playing away from home in this matchup.