Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/6/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 6, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 9:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+135/-165).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 35.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 97th percentile.
The Magic have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should increase possessions for the Cavaliers.
At home, the Magic have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has totaled just 4.4 assists per game this year, significantly lower than his 5.4 assists per game last year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (82nd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to worsens player production across the board.

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