Donovan Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Assists

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 15, 2023

Updated Mar 15, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+118/-154).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -141 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 5.1 assists per game with the home court advantage since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the best in the league by this standard.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 33.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Cavaliers.
When playing on the road, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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