Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:55 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has made 7.8 field goals per game this year, ranking in the 90th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 37.1 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
In regard to shooting, the Kings's fantastic 114.2 points per game away from their home court comes in as the 7th-most in the NBA over the last 9 games.
The 5th-quickest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 9 games has been the Kings.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league in their home stadium this year, which should lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (100th percentile).
The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a tough one; he has given up just 8.3 points per game when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year (4th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Deandre Ayton is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when Ayton is at home and matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a measly 2.6 free throws per game (15th percentile).
Domantas Sabonis is expected to suffer a drop-off in performance across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.