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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 2/26/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has successfully made 10.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
  • Domantas Sabonis has played 35.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
  • This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (97th percentile).
  • Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.8 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
  • The number of points tallied against Bam Adebayo has been remarkably low (11.9 per game) when squaring off against fellow starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
  • The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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