Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2024

Updated Feb 10, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-140/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has converted 68.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Domantas Sabonis has sunk 56.9% of his attempts from downtown over the last 15 games, 12.4% higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
Among all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 97th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 35.6 minutes per game this year.
In terms of offense, the Sacramento Kings's remarkable 121.3 points per game at home places 7th-most in the league this year.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing clubs have tallied 27.4 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, designating this as a challenging matchup.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has accumulated 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.8 more than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 4thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with only 8.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has snagged 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Nuggets (lengthening possessions that can create more opportunities for offense).

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