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Domantas Sabonis

Domantas Sabonis Points
Player Prop - 1/16/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has sunk 57.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games on the road, 10.2% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year while on the road.
  • Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the league.
  • The matchup vs. Jusuf Nurkic is a strong one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made an enormous 48.7% of their three-point attempts (96th percentile).
  • The Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Domantas Sabonis has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (96th percentile).
  • The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 4th-slowest tempo home offense in the league this year (the Phoenix Suns).
  • This year, their opposition has secured 11.0 offensive boards per game (10th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (maintaining possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).
  • Domantas Sabonis has sunk a measly 62.7% of his foul shot attempts this year, significantly less than his 73.9 rate last year.
  • As a team, the Kings have been poor at getting to the free-throw line of late: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games with a lowly 19.8 foul shots per game.

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