Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2024

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Domantas Sabonis

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2024

Updated Jan 13, 2024 3:31 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has converted 10.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 more than he's made over the course of the season.
Domantas Sabonis has tallied 34.0 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 91st percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.
The matchup against the 76ers is a difficult one for scoring; opposing teams have posted the 4th-lowest field goal rate in the league over the last 15 games (46.1%).
The matchup against Paul Reed is a favorable one for three-point attempts; when Reed is at home and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 2.3 3-pointers per game (93rd percentile).
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Kings.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis rates in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.2 fouls per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing squads have secured 13.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers (continuing possessions that can produce more opportunities for offense).
Domantas Sabonis has sunk a lowly 60.7% of his foul shot attempts this season, quite a bit lower than his 73.9 rate last season.
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Kings's poor 19.9 free throw attempts per game comes in as the 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games, their opposition has attempted 28.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Philadelphia 76ers, finding it easy to draw fouls.

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