Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has successfully made an impressive 45.8% of his shots from downtown this year, a big improvement over his 36.7 rate last year.
Out of all players in the league, Domantas Sabonis ranks in the 90th percentile for playing time, posting a whopping 33.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting Cs have tallied 1.0 3-pointers per game (24th-most in the league) against the Mavericks, marking this as a strong matchup.
The Kings have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games while on their home court.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Dallas Mavericks).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 3.2 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.6% rate of drained threes measures as the 8th-lowest in the NBA this year.
While at home, the Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (13.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Compared to last season's 73.9% clip, Domantas Sabonis's free-throw proficiency has tailed off this season to 63.8%.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, finding it difficult to get to the free-throw line.