Domantas Sabonis Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Mar 1, 2023 12:21 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has sunk 7.0 buckets per game on the road this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Domantas Sabonis has converted 40.0% of his attempts from downtown over the last 5 games, 10.9% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games away from home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games.
The Thunder have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has tallied 4.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.4 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The matchup against the Thunder is a tough one; they have given up the 14th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposition's starting Cs this year (11.3).
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Thunder have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to decreases player production for all stats.