Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

NBA · Player Props

Domantas Sabonis

F-C · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:57 AM EST

Analysis

Domantas Sabonis Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Domantas Sabonis has made 87.5% of his treys over the last 5 games on the road, 32.7% higher than he's sunk overall this year without the home court advantage.
Domantas Sabonis has averaged 34.8 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Dereck Lively II is a good one for three-point attempts; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a monstrous 2.1 shots from behind the three-point arc per game (80th percentile).
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Domantas Sabonis has attempted 1.1 threes per game this year, putting him in the 25th percentile among all players in the league.
Among all players in the NBA, Domantas Sabonis measures in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 3.3 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from competing against the 10th-most sluggish pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Dallas Mavericks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Domantas Sabonis will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to decrease player performance across the board.